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Does ‘Big Government’ Hurt Growth? It’s Not as Simple as That

Does ‘Big Government’ Hurt Growth? It’s Not as Simple as That

January 11, 2017

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Since the late 1970s it has largely been the consensus that “big government” is detrimental to growth. This manifested after the financial crisis when countries, including previously fiscally-comfortable countries like Germany and the UK, adopted austerity programs, ostensibly to spur growth by cutting government expenditure.

But our research shows the story is not so simple. We found that studies tend to reflect selection bias. Findings that indicate a negative association between government size and growth are more likely to be published than those that show either a positive or no association.

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